Probable Roster Decisions in Advance of Kings Opening Night

For the first time in several seasons, salary cap issues are no longer the topic du jour in Los Angeles.  Sure, the Kings aren’t completely out of the woods just yet — case in point, there is still plenty of work to do before talks begin with Drew Doughty on a contract extension next summer. However, the most pressing issues on GM Rob Blake’s to do list involve his opening night roster.

For starters, the team is looking to add some scoring punch. After being near the bottom of the league in offense for several years now, new coach John Stevens has been telling anybody who will listen, he and his staff have several fresh ideas they’ve already begun implementing in the hopes of taking some pressure off of goaltender Jonathan Quick and what will be a slightly reconfigured defense in front of him.

The top two lines are all but settled:

Mike Cammalleri – Anze Kopitar – Dustin Brown
Tanner Pearson – Jeff Carter – Tyler Toffoli

As for what happens when Marian Gaborik returns, for anybody to say with absolute certainty is impossible. Until the 35-year-old winger is actually practicing and declared fit for game action, think of Cammalleri and Brown on extended tryouts. If either of them start to light things up during their evaluation period, they’ll make their case for staying with Kopitar. If both earn that right, there is always the possibility that Gaborik will start out on the third line and need to earn his spot back up top.

When it comes to the remaining forwards, that is where things get really interesting. Eight spots need to be filled; six guys for the third and fourth lines, along with two healthy scratches. Most likely, you’ll be looking at the following seven players making the team out of camp:

Andy Andreoff
Kyle Clifford
Nic Dowd
Adrian Kempe
Trevor Lewis
Jordan Nolan
Nick Shore

Regardless of how the bottom six forwards are arranged on a nightly basis, expect a steady diet of guys moving in and out of the line up. For example, a fourth line of Clifford-Shore-Lewis could easily become Andreoff-Dowd-Nolan the next game.

With seven roster spots claimed here, that only leaves one forward position up for grabs. We expect Jonny Brodzinski to be that player when the dust settles in November.

Wait, what? November? The season starts in October.

Exactly. The season starts in October and the Kings have a pair of forwards who would need to go through waivers before being sent down to AHL Ontario – Justin Auger and Michael Mersch. From all indications, Mersch is more likely to make it over Auger. Thus, it only makes sense to send Brodzinski down (since he doesn’t need waivers). Give Mersch a look for 5-10 games and then sort things out. This is similar to what the Kings did with Slava Voynov in 2012. They knew he was NHL ready. They wanted him on the team. They simply didn’t have room. (And, yes, it took them a little longer than 10 games to figure it out back then).

Brodzinski will be with the Kings this season; make no mistake about it. They just need to do some roster shuffling. Plus, in theory, it should be easier to sneak Mersch through waivers in late October / early November when most teams have already set their rosters and have limited space available. Remember, if another team was to claim him, they have to keep him on their NHL roster for 30 days. That’s a tough ask for a guy with 17 games of experience at the moment.

Heading out to the blueline, things are much more clear. There are seven spots, with five of them all but locked up:

Drew Doughty
Derek Forbort
Paul LaDue
Alec Martinez
Jake Muzzin

One name noticably missing is Kevin Gravel. Hold that thought for just a minute. 

To us, it only makes sense to pair the above names as:

Muzzin – Doughty
Martinez – LaDue
Forbort – TBD

Yet, Stevens is talking as if he likes the idea of a Martinez-Muzzin pairing, which would place Forbort on the top pairing. Sure, the latter played all 82 games last season (and that was great experience for the team’s first round draft pick from back in 2010). We just see Muzzin as a better fit for Doughty. Then, if you slot Christian Folin in as the other defenseman, put him on the third pairing and you have a balanced attack of three lefty-righties.

We digress, though. Let’s get back to the seventh defenseman to make the Kings 2017-18 roster.

Four legit names are in the mix – Folin (formerly of the Minnesota Wild, signed to a free agent contract earlier this summer), Gravel, Oscar Fantenberg, and prospect Kurtis MacDermid.

Fantenberg has arrived in North America having played in Sweden and Russia previously. He’s only 25 years old, which bodes well for his future chances. By not needing waivers to go to the AHL, he’s also most likely (barring an incredible preseason) to be in Ontario within a few weeks.

Gravel, like Brodzinski at forward, doesn’t need waivers to go down.  So, again, even though Gravel will likely be in LA before Thanksgiving, he’ll probably get caught in a crunch to start the season. 

That leaves MacDermid. He packs a punch, there’s no denying that. Standing 6-foot-5 without skates, he’s coming off of 121 and 135 penalty minute campaigns during his first two years with the Reign. The kid can play too. So, for a team still looking to reclaim some of their previous identity (see article linked below), MacDermid will likely get the nod – at least for the first few weeks. Would MacDermid make it through waivers? It’s a risk the Kings will almost surely have to take at some point. 

2017-18 LA Kings Projected Opening Night Roster

Cammalleri – Kopitar – Brown
Pearson – Carter – Toffoli
Mersch-Kempe-Lewis
Clifford-Dowd-Nolan

Forbort – Doughty
Martinez – Muzzin
Folin – LaDue

Quick
Kuemper

Scratches: Andreoff, Shore, and MacDermid

Where does this leave guys like Andrei Loktionov, Brooks Laich, Chris Lee, and Brandon Prust – who are attending camp on PTOs? Not on Blake’s NHL roster. Perhaps they’ll be offered AHL deals.

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Comments

  1. I really don’t think the Muzzin Martinez pairing works. They looked awful last year and forbort is overrated. He’s a 5 or 6 defensemen

  2. Johnny Utah says:

    Gravel goes to Ontario and big McD makes it.

    I think the Kings will play the guys who don’t have to pass waivers.

  3. Is Kuemp a slam dunk to be the backup? Zatkoff and Campbell not even remotely in the mix?

  4. Couple of things I don’t understand:

    1. How is Jordan Nolan in the NHL and I’m not? Seriously what does he provide on the ice I don’t from my couch? He’s a waste of space.

    2. Why is Dowd not playing with anyone. This spring I was talking with some of his buddies in Huntsville, AL, and I pointed out to them Dowd and the Kings would be better served with him on the W with Kopitar than C with Clifford. Even a Mersch-Dowd-Kempe line would be better. Lewis is kind of worthless too, so let him fill out L4.

    • Dowd would be competing with Kopi over puck possession. Both like to have the puck and hold on to it to find an open shooter. This was believed to be one of the considerations the Sutter coaching staff had with Brown/Kopitar as well even though Brown/Kopitar seemed to have their most productive seasons together.
      Kempe appears to be a puck possession player as well, although he seems to shoot from the outside more but doesn’t seem to drive to the net for the shot, but interesting idea Dowd/Kempe.
      All said, I am sure the coaching staff has a much greater understanding of this than anyone of us do. They have probably put every combination possible together in practices as well as every evaluation of puck possession time, shot attempts from every spot on the ice, who is good along the boards and who is not.

  5. Agree on Dmen but it would be better in my opinion as:
    Forbort-Doughty
    Muzzin-La Due
    Martinez- Folin
    Mc D
    Gravel
    Fantenburg